Sports
NBA Draft Positions
A bit of data analysis of draft positions across starting lineups in the NBA. For the five starting players on each team, I collected the draft positions and year drafted. So the data is for the 150 players across the 30 teams. I figure starters tend to have the biggest impact and what you want out of your drafts. Undrafted players were assigned a draft position of 61, since NBA has only two rounds 60 spots in the draft.
For any given starter, the average position picked: 19.7
For any given starter, the average year picked is 2010 , or said another way, the average starter has 7 years experience.
| Number of first round picks | 117 | 78% |
| Number of second round picks | 24 | 16% |
| Number of undrafted players | 9 | 6% |
Teams sorted on average pick position of their starters, for example Cleveland is LeBron (1), Kyrie (1), Tristan Thompson (4), Kevin Love (5), and JR Smith (18) for an average pick of 5.8. The chart shows us the Knicks have the second highest starters, so high draft picked players alone don't necessarily make a winning team.
| Cleveland Cavaliers | 5.8 |
| New York Knicks | 7.8 |
| Minnesota Timberwolves | 8.2 |
| Charlotte Hornets | 8.4 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder | 11.0 |
| Portland Trail Blazers | 11.2 |
| Orlando Magic | 11.6 |
| Phoenix Suns | 13.8 |
| Washington Wizards | 15.4 |
| Sacramento Kings | 16.2 |
| Indiana Pacers | 17.2 |
| LA Clippers | 17.6 |
| Los Angeles Lakers | 17.8 |
| Toronto Raptors | 17.8 |
| Utah Jazz | 17.8 |
| Chicago Bulls | 18.6 |
| Detroit Pistons | 19.0 |
| Golden State Warriors | 19.4 |
| New Orleans Pelicans | 20.2 |
| Denver Nuggets | 21.8 |
| Milwaukee Bucks | 24.0 |
| Brooklyn Nets | 24.2 |
| Houston Rockets | 26.8 |
| Memphis Grizzlies | 28.6 |
| Dallas Mavericks | 28.8 |
| Atlanta Hawks | 30.0 |
| San Antonio Spurs | 30.4 |
| Miami Heat | 31.8 |
| Boston Celtics | 34.4 |
| Philadelphia 76ers | 36.6 |
Here are the teams sorted by average draft years of starters, showing which teams have the oldest to youngest starters.
| Memphis Grizzlies | 2005 |
| LA Clippers | 2007 |
| Cleveland Cavaliers | 2007 |
| Dallas Mavericks | 2008 |
| San Antonio Spurs | 2008 |
| New York Knicks | 2008 |
| Golden State Warriors | 2008 |
| Toronto Raptors | 2009 |
| Chicago Bulls | 2009 |
| Houston Rockets | 2009 |
| Boston Celtics | 2009 |
| Indiana Pacers | 2009 |
| Utah Jazz | 2009 |
| Phoenix Suns | 2009 |
| Denver Nuggets | 2009 |
| Sacramento Kings | 2010 |
| Atlanta Hawks | 2010 |
| Charlotte Hornets | 2010 |
| Washington Wizards | 2010 |
| New Orleans Pelicans | 2011 |
| Brooklyn Nets | 2011 |
| Miami Heat | 2011 |
| Detroit Pistons | 2001 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder | 2013 |
| Orlando Magic | 2013 |
| Minnesota Timberwolves | 2013 |
| Portland Trail Blazers | 2013 |
| Philadelphia 76ers | 2013 |
| Milwaukee Bucks | 2014 |
| Los Angeles Lakers | 2015 |
A scatterplot of all starters by draft position and year #1 overall pick and undrafted picks highlighted.
NBA Draft Position/Year
Finally a cumulative graph by draft position showing what percentage of starters in the league are above a given point, for example 21% of the starters are from top 4 draft picks.
https://codepen.io/mkaz/full/yXbvzv
NBA Draft Position Cumulative
https://codepen.io/mkaz/full/BZRVNo
Summary
I initially started playing with it because I was curious how big of an impact the top players really do have, are people making too big of a fuss over the first handful of picks. Well, it turns out it is a great amount, more than half the starters in the league come from the top 15 draft positions.
Also, the data will get even more skewed towards the top once Philadelphia starts playing all their early picks, they're going to jump from bottom almost to the top.
If you want to play with the data, download my Excel workbook NBA Starters Draft, and let me know if you come up with any additional insights.
ยง Starting player data from ESPN Depth Chart, draft position and year from Basketball Reference.